Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.024505 0.029563 0.034872 0.040816 0.047247 0.053959 0.061459
2026-02-01 0.016527 0.023453 0.031273 0.040552 0.051086 0.062523 0.075744
2026-02-08 0.010541 0.017988 0.027064 0.038430 0.051871 0.066928 0.084775
2026-02-15 0.007090 0.014698 0.024688 0.037797 0.053813 0.072180 0.094346
2026-02-22 0.005066 0.012773 0.023615 0.038406 0.056941 0.078571 0.105016
2026-03-01 0.003605 0.011265 0.022813 0.039134 0.060038 0.084789 0.115369
2026-03-08 0.002681 0.010353 0.022663 0.040576 0.063915 0.091857 0.126649
2026-03-15 0.001823 0.009248 0.022061 0.041293 0.066793 0.097657 0.136384
2026-03-22 0.001655 0.009526 0.023533 0.044819 0.073233 0.107767 0.151222
2026-03-29 0.000845 0.007894 0.021821 0.043810 0.073761 0.110608 0.157360
2026-04-05 0.000470 0.007097 0.021338 0.044449 0.076366 0.115954 0.166457
2026-04-12 0.000178 0.006142 0.020446 0.044410 0.078021 0.120081 0.174054
2026-04-19 0.000031 0.005348 0.019795 0.044785 0.080355 0.125237 0.183144
2026-04-26 NaN 0.004487 0.018879 0.044702 0.082057 0.129612 0.191323
2026-05-03 NaN 0.003168 0.016709 0.042503 0.080755 0.130105 0.194685
2026-05-10 NaN 0.002433 0.015584 0.041842 0.081499 0.133148 0.201135
2026-05-17 NaN 0.002078 0.015283 0.042486 0.084043 0.138483 0.210404
2026-05-24 NaN 0.001789 0.015076 0.043253 0.086743 0.144009 0.219902
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001667 0.015316 0.044770 0.090510 0.150918 0.231121
2026-06-07 NaN 0.001427 0.015128 0.045525 0.093168 0.156377 0.240529
2026-06-14 NaN 0.001694 0.016615 0.049230 0.100097 0.167419 0.256916
2026-06-21 NaN 0.001186 0.015420 0.048171 0.100110 0.169412 0.261990
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000994 0.015217 0.048842 0.102619 0.174662 0.271131